Voting for the Delhi assembly elections has concluded on 5 February. Now everyone’s eyes are on the results coming on 8 February. Meanwhile, all the exit polls are giving bad news for the present government of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). At the same time, in most of the survey, BJP is said to have ended 27 years of exile. It is a matter of Congress to get 1-2 seats in good news for him.
In its survey, an agency named People Pulse has given the most scary data for the Aam Aadmi Party government. In this survey, AAP has been given 10-19 seats, while BJP has been given 51-60 seats. Mind Brink (44-49), Matrize (32-37 seats) and Weepreside (46-52 seats) have given AAP a majority figure, while most are predicting BJP to return to power.
For the last 10 years, the distance of Muslim voters from the party is being given the main reason for the Aam Aadmi Party, which has been in power in Delhi for the Aam Aadmi Party. After this, the leaders whose AAP cut the ticket, also created difficulties. Apart from this, Congress and in Muslim dominated areas Aimim’s hyperactivity Has removed voters from AAP. At the same time, ignoring the caste equation also damaged the AAP.
77 percent of Hindus population in Delhi, almost of Muslims 18 percent population Is. At the same time, 4 percent Sikh, Jain is one percent. In 70 assembly seats of this Delhi, at least 8 seats are Muslim-majority. In addition, there are 15 seats that play their important role in forming and spoiling the government. This time the Muslims of these seats looked angry with AAP.
In fact, AIMIM of Hyderabad MP Asaduddin Owaisi, who only talked about Muslims, has fielded candidates on two seats in Delhi- Okhla and Mustafabad. The population of Muslims in Okhla is about 57 percent. At the same time, it is almost around in Mustafabad. In these two seats, the Muslim community was seen among the people towards the candidates of AIMIM.
AIMIM tried to target several target with an arrow by fielding Tahir Hussain, the main conspirator of the 2020 Delhi riots from Mustafabad. In the name of Tahir Hussain, an attempt was made to polarize Delhi, especially in North-East Delhi, which clearly shows the effect of AIMIM candidates. There was also a tendency in favor of AIMIM candidate Shifa-ur-Rahman from Okhla.
At the same time, the Congress tried to help its traditional Muslims and voters. A male name Gandhi And her MP sister Priyanka Gandhi did several rallies and road shows in Muslim and Dalit areas. Rahul Gandhi started his election campaign from Muslim -dominated Cealampur. Among the Muslim voters of the Aam Aadmi Party, a huge dent has been imposed by the Congress and AIMIM.
On an average, 57 percent polling was held in Muslim -dominated areas of Delhi. Ballimaran, Matia Mahal, Chandni Chowk and Sadar Bazar and Okhla seat of South-East were relatively low. However, there were fierce voting at Seelampur and Mustafabad in North-Eastern Delhi and Babarpur in Shahdara district. Voting was announced from mosques in many Muslim areas.
In Ballimran, Aam Aadmi Party minister Imran Hussain Announcement from mosque to be done. In this way, the AAP game has deteriorated on Muslim -dominated seats like Seelampur, Seemapuri, Babarpur, Chandni Chowk, Matia Mahal, Jungpura, Sadar Bazar, Okhla, Mustafabad. According to the survey of Matridge, AAP can get only 67 percent Muslim votes in the Delhi Assembly elections.
This is a big lesson for AAP, as AAP got 87 percent Muslim votes in the 2020 assembly elections. In the survey, this time about 13 percent Muslim vote Congress and 9 percent BJP are being said to go. The AAP will suffer direct loss of this. The more the Congress benefits in this election, the more the AAP will suffer, because the voters of both are one.
In this way, after the AAP is cut, the BJP can get direct benefit. Apart from this, the lower-middle class and middle class associated with AAP in Delhi turned to BJP this time. The Modi government has given great relief for them by making up to 12 lakh rupees in the budget. This shifted a large part of these two classes to BJP.
Old AAP leaders have also hurt the party. The leaders whose party have cut tickets, worked against the party. Many leaders left the party and joined the BJP etc. Many Aam Aadmi Party MLAs got angry with not getting tickets against their own government. Many such seats are being told, where they are engaged in defeating the candidate of their party.
Please tell that this time AAP had cut tickets for more than 20 MLAs. Of Aam Aadmi Party Eight MLAs then BJP I joined The MLAs whose tickets have been cut include Dilip Pandey, MLA from Timarpur, MLA from Shahdara and Speaker of Delhi Assembly Ramnivas Goyal, Prakash Jarwal from Deoli, Haji Yunus from Mustafabad.
At the last minute, the ticket of MLA Raj Kumari Dhillon from Harinagar was cut. In this way, apart from these seats, AAP is being faced by its people in Palam, Kasturba Nagar, Mehrauli, Deoli, Mustafabad, Adarsh Nagar. Apart from this, ignoring the caste equation in ticket partition in AAP has also become a big problem for the AAP.
The Aam Aadmi Party fielded Brahmins in 15 seats in the Delhi Assembly elections and Dalit candidates in 12 seats. Dalits have been given reserve for them in 12 seats. At the same time, 6+ Brahmins of Purvanchal were given tickets including three Brahmins from Maithili region of Bihar. In this way, AAP failed to help the caste equation between the voters of Purvanchal. It also could not get the regional diversity.
In addition, the Aam Aadmi Party ignored Kshatriya Samaj, Sikh, Muslims and Jats. AAP only 5 Muslims4 Kshatriyas and 4 Sikhs fielded candidates. This shifted people of this class to other parties, whose loss is visible to AAP. The AAP also did not get proper representation to the Jat and Baniya community. This caused AAP to suffer heavy losses.
However, such speculations are being made only on the basis of the statements and circumstances of some people between the survey statistics and voters. The situation in Delhi will be cleared by the afternoon on February 8, when the votes will be counted. We have to remember the 2020 Delhi Assembly Elections also. At that time also, on the basis of the survey report, the BJP’s return was being said, but finally the results were called the survey report as Dhatta.
