New Delhi:
Exit poll predictions for the results of Maharashtra and Jharkhand assembly elections and Uttar Pradesh assembly by-elections have started coming out. These forecasts show a tough contest between the BJP-led NDA and the opposition alliance in Maharashtra and Jharkhand. However, in most of the surveys for Maharashtra, the BJP-led Mahayuti (NDA in Maharashtra) has been shown to have an edge over the Mahavikas Aghadi. NDTV has calculated the average of these predictions (Poll of Exit Poll). According to this, NDA seems to be getting the lead in Maharashtra. There is a close contest between NDA and India alliance in Jharkhand. That means a hung assembly can be formed. BJP is also predicted to get lead in the by-elections held for 9 seats in Uttar Pradesh.
BJP had tried to polarize votes in the assembly elections and by-elections. BJP gave slogans like ‘If you divide, you will be divided’ and ‘If you are united, you will be safe’. Apart from this, she continued to focus most on women voters. Like Madhya Pradesh’s ‘Ladli Brahmin Yojana’, he made pre-poll promises in Jharkhand and Maharashtra also. However, opposition parties also announced women welfare schemes on the lines of BJP. In Jharkhand, BJP had also made the infiltration of Bangladeshis a big election issue. How effective these slogans and promises will be will be known only from the election results, currently its shadow can be seen in the surveys that came after the voting.
There are 288 assembly seats in Maharashtra and 81 seats in Jharkhand. Voting took place on all the seats in Maharashtra today in a single phase. The election process was completed in Jharkhand today with the second phase of voting. The counting of votes will take place on November 23 and the results will be declared along with it.
Majority figure in Maharashtra is 145
To have majority in Maharashtra, any alliance must win at least 145 assembly seats. In some of the exit polls that have come so far, NDA has been shown leading while in some, a close contest has been predicted between the two alliances. If we look at the average of these predictions, NDA may get 153 seats, Mahavikas Aghadi (MVA) may get 126 seats and others may get 9 seats.
According to the exit poll of agency Lokshahi Marathi-Rudra, NDA may get 128 to 142 seats, MVA may get 25 to 140 seats and others may get 18 to 23 seats. According to Matriage’s survey, NDA is expected to get 150 to 170 seats, MVA is expected to get 110 to 130 seats and others are expected to get 8 to 10 seats. According to Chanakya Strategies, NDA is expected to get 152 to 160 seats, MVA 130 to 138 and others 6 to 8 seats. P Mark’s survey says that NDA is likely to get 137 to 157 seats, MVA is likely to get 124 seats and others are likely to get 7 seats.
Chanakya Strategies’ exit poll once again shows ‘Mahayuti’ government in Maharashtra.
Dainik Bhaskar estimates that NDA can win 125 to 140 seats, MVA 135 to 150 and other candidates can win 20 to 25 seats. People’s Pulse has predicted NDA to get 175 to 195 seats, MVA to get 85 to 112 seats and others to get 7 to 12 seats. Times Now-JVC estimates that NDA may get 150 to 167 seats, MVA may get 107 to 125 seats and others may get 13 to 14 seats.
41 seats needed to form government in Jharkhand
There are total 81 assembly seats in Jharkhand and the majority figure is 41. If we look at the average of surveys conducted in Jharkhand, NDA is winning on 39 seats and India Alliance is winning on 38 seats. Four seats are going to others.
Axis My India estimates that NDA will get 25 seats and India Alliance will get 53 seats. Others are getting 3 seats. In Matriage’s survey, NDA is likely to get 42 to 47 seats, Indian Alliance 25 to 30 and others 1 to 4 seats. According to People’s Pulse, NDA may get 44 to 53 seats, Indian Alliance may get 25 to 37 seats and others may get 5 to 9 seats.
Why does BJP appear to be the ‘darling’ of voters in EXIT Poll? Just understand.
Dainik Bhaskar predicts that NDA may get 37 to 40 seats, India Alliance may get 36 to 39 seats and others may get zero to 2 seats. According to P-Mark’s survey, NDA is likely to get 31 to 40 seats, India Alliance 37 to 47 and others 1 to 6 seats. According to Times Now-JVC estimates, NDA may be successful in winning 40 to 44 seats, India Alliance 30 to 40 and other candidates may be successful in winning 4 seats.
Forecasts for by-elections for 9 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh have also come out. According to the survey from Matriage here, NDA may be successful in winning 7 seats and Samajwadi Party 2 seats.
Also read –
NDTV Poll of Polls: BJP+ government again in Maharashtra, close contest in Jharkhand, see results of all EXIT POLLS
Jharkhand Exit Poll: Soren may bid farewell, NDA seems to be getting majority
