How many failure in Delhi elections and how many close? Understand the last 3 election data

Voting is going on in 70 assembly seats in Delhi on Wednesday. Voting started at 7 am and will run till 6 pm. This time AAP is pushing for the fourth time to gain power. BJP is also expecting a return after 27 years. On the other hand, the Congress is also trying to strengthen its hands. Who will get the power of Delhi, it will be known on 8 February. But before that, after the end of the voting, the results of all the news channels and the exit polls of the agencies will start coming at 6:30 pm. This will make a thick idea about the results of Delhi elections. However, exit poll results are not always correct. Many times the election results are completely reversed by exit poll estimates. The same happened in the Lok Sabha elections held in 2024 and the Haryana-Jharkhand elections.

Ever since the introduction of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in 2013, the exit poll and survey have been failing to realize the reach of the party led by Arvind Kejriwal. Whereas in 2013, the exit poll estimated the Hung Assembly in Delhi, which proved to be absolutely correct. Then in the 2015 and 2020 elections, all exit polls predicted a very close match between AAP and BJP. But in both these elections, the AAP won a fierce majority.

Let us know what were the estimates of the exit polls of the 2013 assembly elections in Delhi in 2013, 2015 and 2020. How different did these estimates prove from the real outcome:-

2020 exit poll estimates
In 2020, the people of Delhi voted for the assembly elections on 8 February. In the exit polls released after the election, almost all agencies showed a majority to AAP.
-Axis My India had estimated AAP to get the maximum 59-68 seats.
-Jan Ki Baat, NewsX-NETA and India News Nation predicted AAP to get 55 seats.
-Times Now gave AAP 47 seats and BJP 23 seats.

What came the result?
When the results came out, the Aam Aadmi Party won 62 out of 70 seats. The party’s vote share recorded a slight decline of 0.73%.
– At the same time, BJP’s vote percentage gained 6.21%. However, despite this, BJP got only 8 seats. On the other hand, Congress’s vote share remained up to 4.26%. After 2013 and 2015, the party once again recorded a decline in vote percentage. The Congress did not get any seat in the 2020 assembly elections.

Estimate 2015 exit poll
In the 2015 elections, the people of Delhi voted on 7 February. After the election, almost all exit polls were mostly explaining a thorn in exit polls AAP and BJP.
-C-Voter gave AAP 31-39 seats, BJP 27-35 seats and Congress 2-4 seats.
-Abp-Neilsen had projected AAP to get 39 seats and BJP 28 seats.
-Today’s Chanakya gave 44 seats to AAP and 22 seats to BJP.

What came the result?
When the results came, the AAP, led by Arvind Kejriwal, created a new history by winning a strong majority. He won 67 out of 70 seats.
-BJP had to satisfy 3 seats. This time also the hands of the Congress remained empty.
In 2013, AAP got 30% votes, which increased to 54% in 2015.

Estimates of 2013 exit poll
In 2013, voting was held in Delhi on 4 December. The results were released on 8 December.
In most exit polls, BJP was described as the largest party. Congress was placed at number two and AAP was placed at number three. BJP was also estimated to get a majority in some exit polls.
-HEADLINES-Tday Org had estimated 41 seats for BJP, 6 for AAP and 20 for Congress. 3 seats were given to others. ABP-NEILSON had estimated BJP 37 seats, AAP 15 and 16 seats for Congress.
– Cvoter had expressed the confidence to get BJP 31, AAP 15 and Congress 20 seats.
-Today’s Chanakya had estimated 29 seats for BJP, 10 for Congress and 31 for AAP.

What came the result?
-When the results came, no party got a majority. BJP emerged as the largest party. In the results, the Aam Aadmi Party finished second and the Congress finished third. BJP got 32 seats. AAP won 28 seats. The Congress had 8 seats in the hand.

BJP and Congress performance in Delhi?
BJP formed the government in 1993 in Delhi. BJP had a clear majority. The saffron party got 49 seats, Congress 14, Janat Dal 4 and Independents got 3 seats. After this, the Congress won in 1998 under the leadership of Sheila Dixit. Congress got 52 seats, BJP 15, Janata Dal 1 and independents got 2 seats.
In 2003 and 2008, Sheila Dixit won the Congress. In the 2013 elections, the Congress ousted the Congress from the power of Delhi.