New Delhi/Ranchi:
After voting on 81 assembly seats of Jharkhand, the results of exit poll are out. Exit polls of various news channels and survey agencies have shown the formation of the BJP-led NDA government in Jharkhand. Only two exit polls ‘Axis My India’ and ‘Dainik Bhaskar Reporters Poll’ have shown INDIA getting majority in Jharkhand. Axis My India has estimated 53 to 59 seats for INDIA. This is much more than the majority figure of 41. At the same time, only 25 seats have been estimated for NDA. Meanwhile, Axis My India Chief Pradeep Kumar Gupta himself has told that why did he give so many seats to INDIA in the prediction for Jharkhand?
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Axis My India Chairman Pradeep Gupta says, “There could be 3-4 special reasons for INDIA alliance’s victory in Jharkhand. One of them is anti-incumbency i.e. anti-incumbency wave. But in our survey, incumbency was found in favor of the government. People judge the government based on its concerns, what promises were made by the government in the last 5 years. How much was accomplished? How much what was written on paper came to fruition… Voters decide their vote on the basis of these things.”
How accurate are the exit polls?
In recent times, the credibility of exit polls has decreased. In response to a question asked about this, Pradeep Gupta says, “Exit poll has a simple science. In this, we talk to people and try to make them understand who voted for which party. This helps in understanding the results before the results. A rough idea can be made whether someone’s numbers are correct or not, still an estimate remains because sometimes the sample in the survey is less than 0.1 percent. Size is there. We just try to guess.”
Pradeep Gupta says, “As far as Axis My India’s exit polls are concerned, we have predicted 77 elections in the last 11 years. Out of them, our predictions in 70 elections have proved correct. This has happened in only 6 elections. That our estimates were not found correct. So it should be your decision whether you believe our exit poll or not.”
What do the exit poll results say for Jharkhand:-
– Till now only Axis My India has shown INDIA getting majority in its exit poll for Jharkhand. The exit poll estimates 53 seats for India. Whereas 25 seats have been estimated for NDA.
-In the Times Now-JVC exit poll for Jharkhand, NDA is predicted to get 40-44 seats. An estimate of 30 to 40 seats has been given for INDIA. 1-1 seats can go to someone else’s account.
-Chanakya Strategies’ exit poll for Jharkhand predicts 45 to 50 seats for NDA. India is estimated to have 35 to 38 seats. 3 to 5 seats can go to others. There are total 81 seats in the state. The majority figure is 41.
-People Pulse’s exit poll for Jharkhand predicts NDA to get 44-53 seats. Whereas 25 to 37 seats have been estimated for INDIA. People Pulse’s exit poll for Maharashtra has predicted Mahayuti to win 175 to 195 seats. Whereas, MVA is estimated to have 82-112 seats.
-Times Now-JVC has estimated 40-44 seats for NDA, while 30-40 seats are estimated for INDIA. Others seem to be losing 1 seat.
-Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll estimates 37-40 seats for NDA in Jharkhand. In the exit poll, India is predicted to get 36-39 seats.
-P-Mark has estimated 31-40 seats for NDA in its exit poll. Whereas India seems to be getting 37-47 seats.
NDTV Poll of Polls: BJP+ government again in Maharashtra, close contest in Jharkhand, see results of all EXIT POLLS
